Analysis: Bitcoin's Rebound Could Fall into a "Bull Trap," "Breakout Day" May Be the Key Catalyst

Blockbeats
26 Mar

BlockBeats News, March 26th, Kirill Kretov, a cryptocurrency trading expert at the automated trading platform CoinPanel, warned: "Investors need to be extra cautious in the current environment: the market is still fragile and easily manipulated. Retail participation is low, trading volume is thin, and even the so-called 'smart money' is on the sidelines. The forces truly capable of driving the market are choosing to remain neutral — and this is no coincidence."

According to CryptoQuant data, despite Bitcoin's price rising to $88,786 earlier this week, its funding rate has turned negative. This indicates that traders are unwilling to pay a premium for opening new long positions in the perpetual contract market, showing signs of a cooling leverage demand.

Augustine Fan, partner at the cryptocurrency derivatives software provider SignalPlus, stated that clarity on the market direction awaits a key policy event on April 2nd: "We expect the market's soft rebound to continue until the end of the month, with the next significant catalyst being 'Tariff Liberation Day' announcements." With the Trump administration set to announce a new round of tariff plans on that day, macro policy uncertainty could once again become the spark that disrupts the balance of the cryptocurrency market (Jinshi).

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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