Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Waste Connections:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = US$1.2b ÷ (US$20b - US$1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Waste Connections has an ROCE of 6.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Waste Connections
In the above chart we have measured Waste Connections' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Waste Connections .
In terms of Waste Connections' historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 6.8% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 41% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
In summary, Waste Connections has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 163% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Waste Connections that you might find interesting.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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