【经济数据不及预期，警惕黄金波幅加剧】金十期货特约光大期货点评：3月25日，COMEX黄金价格上涨0.35%至3026.20美元/盎司，沪金主连上涨0.23%至707.30元/克。1. 数据方面，美国3月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数 -4，预期1，前值6；3月咨商会消费者预期指数 65.2，前值72.9。2. 降息方面，最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，5月维持利率不变的概率为87.1%，降息25个基点的概率为12.9%，到6月维持利率不变的概率为32.4%，累计降息25个基点的概率为59.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为8.1%。3. 综合而言，内外盘黄金呈现偏强姿态，尚未看见明确转势信号，注意价格高位波幅有望加剧。
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