3 月 26 日，加密货币交易自动化平台 CoinPanel 交易专家 Kirill Kretov 警告称：“投资者在当前环境中需格外谨慎：市场依然脆弱，极易被操纵。散户活跃度低迷，交易量稀薄，即便所谓的‘聪明钱’也在场外观望。真正有能力推动市场的力量选择按兵不动——这绝非偶然。”
据 CryptoQuant 数据，尽管比特币价格本周一上涨至 88786 美元，其资金费率却转为负值。这表明交易者不愿为在永续合约市场开立新多头头寸支付溢价，杠杆需求出现降温迹象。
加密货币衍生品软件提供商 SignalPlus 合伙人 Augustine Fan 表示，市场方向明朗化需等待 4 月 2 日的关键政策节点：“我们预计市场软性反弹将延续至月末，下一重要催化剂是‘解放日’关税声明。”随着特朗普政府拟于当日宣布新一轮关税计划，宏观政策不确定性或再度成为打破加密市场平衡的导火索。（金十）
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