【LPG：华南竞争加剧 价格下跌】金十期货3月26日讯，1. 进入3月份，华南液化气市场整体呈现震荡下跌的趋势，尤其中旬跌幅更为明显。截至3月25日收盘，华南民用气收盘均价为5075元/吨，较2月底收盘均价下跌240元/吨，珠三角进口气收盘均价为5115元/吨，较2月底收盘均价下跌120元/吨，主营炼厂及进口码头供应量增加、进口利润可观加大卖方出货积极性、区内资源外流不畅等因素均制约华南市场走势。2. 后市来看，国际方面，目前卓创资讯评估4月CP预期丙烷在610美元/吨，丁烷600美元/吨，预期较3月下调幅度有限，进口到岸成本预期较3月波动不大。国内方面，西北货源对沿江地区冲击减弱，当前华南与沿江地区拉开一定价差，部分资源可外流，同时国内主营炼厂春季检修相对集中，其中华南广西北海、中海油惠州二期存检修计划，预计检修损失量在2000吨/日，炼厂减量对华南市场存支撑，另外周边沿江地区九江石化、金澳科技及湖南石化均有检修，利好区内资源外流，预计3月下旬市场或有转折，后期走势预期坚挺，并阶段性试探上涨。
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