4 月 4 日，据 CME“美联储观察”数据，美联储 5 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 43.3%，较非农数据公布前的 39.9% 有所上升，维持利率不变的概率为 56.7%。
美联储到 6 月维持利率不变的概率为 0，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 52.1%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 44.3%，累计降息 75 个基点的概率为 3.5%。
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