原油:供应担忧加剧 原油反弹领涨期市

金十财经
01 Apr

【原油:供应担忧加剧 原油反弹领涨期市】金十期货4月1日讯,隔夜WTI原油日内大涨3.00%,现报71.37美元/桶。布伦特原油现涨2.76%,报74.80美元/桶。国内原油主力涨超3%,领涨期市。1. 消息面,黑海出口哈萨克斯坦石油的里海管道联盟(CPC)周一宣布,其码头的三个系泊点中有两个已停止运营;委内瑞拉副总统罗德里格斯宣布,多家在委运营的跨国油气公司在过去几小时内接到美国通知,其出口委内瑞拉石油的授权已被取消;伊朗国营媒体表示,伊朗革命卫队扣押了两艘载有300多万升走私柴油的外国油轮。2. 中辉期货分析师吴明近认为,美国原油库存超预期下降,整体库存水平处于历史极低水平,叠加市场对俄罗斯和伊朗的原油供应担忧加剧,原油价格短期在企稳后积极反弹。从欧佩克+与美国页岩油长期的动态博弈中可以发现,美国页岩油由于高成本的劣势,一旦国际油价低于60美元/桶,页岩油生产积极性将大幅受挫,所以短期内综合考虑WTI原油大概率在60---80美元之间维持宽幅震荡运行。国内原油主力在日线图20日线525--526之上维持逢低短多思路或更为稳健,上方关注610--620区域。

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