Is Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) the Best Airline Stock to Buy Now?

Insider Monkey
02 Apr

We recently published a list of 11 Best Airline Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCY) stands against other best airline stocks to buy now.

The global airline industry was hit worse than most other industries by the COVID-19 pandemic. According to McKinsey, the industry’s revenue in 2020 was $328 billion, representing a revenue loss of more than $370 billion over 2019. However, the industry has progressively rebounded in recent years and is expected to rise steadily as international travel returns worldwide.

Back in 2023, the aviation value chain seemed encouraging compared to a couple of years prior. Jet fuel manufacturers, who profited from higher gasoline prices, and freight forwarders, having continued to enjoy robust air cargo demand, made the most money. On the other hand, airports, airlines, and OEMs faced the biggest losses in absolute terms. That said, the aggregate results, boosted by the continued recovery in air travel, were a substantial improvement over 2022, when economic losses across the entire chain reached almost $67 billion. On that front, McKinsey stated that 9 of the 11 subsectors the firm analyzed did better in 2023 than in 2022, and 6 of the 11 performed better than in 2019. Furthermore, according to a UN Tourism study released in January 2024, international tourism reached 88% of pre-pandemic levels in 2023 and was on course to rebound to levels before the pandemic.

Airline Industry Outlook

The US airline sector began 2025 operating at greater than pre-pandemic levels, with demand showing a strong rebound in 2024 and early 2025. According to Bain & Company’s Q1 2025 air travel forecasts, annual air travel demand has surpassed 2019 totals based on revenue passenger kilometers. This recovery marked a significant milestone, with 2024 travel demand surpassing 102.6% of 2019 levels. However, new data shows that this trend seems to have reversed on account of heightened inflation and safety concerns. The market has already begun reflecting this change, with the S&P 500 passenger airline index down about 20.8% year-to-date.

All that said, the future holds a bit more promise. By 2030, the US is expected to replace the UK as the world’s largest outbound travel market, thanks to a spike of 21 million extra visitors between 2024 and 2030. Meanwhile, China is expected to reclaim its position as the third-largest outbound travel market, up from 7th place in 2024, with an increase of more than 26 million travelers. Furthermore, the Airports Council International (ACI) predicts that global passenger traffic would rise at a compound annual growth rate of 3.4% between 2024 and 2043, reaching 17.7 billion people. By 2045, these numbers are predicted to increase to 18.7 billion, nearly double those in 2024. Looking even beyond that, passenger traffic is expected to hit the 22.3 billion mark by 2053, about 2.4 times the 2024 prediction.

Our Methodology

For our list of the 11 best airline stocks to buy, we noted down stocks that were involved in the airline industry and then selected the top 11 companies that operated in that space. We used ETFs, financial media reports, and stock screeners to compile a preliminary list. We arranged the chosen companies in ascending order of hedge fund ownership as of Q4 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A landscape view of a passenger and cargo airplane taking off from the airport runway.

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:SNCY)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 27

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCY) runs low-cost airlines that operate in two segments: cargo and passengers. The company has operations primarily in the United States while also expanding into Latin America. Notably, it has a fleet of 44 passenger aircraft and 20 freighters that serve a variety of customers, including leisure travelers, cargo clients, and military services.

The airline exceeded earnings per share forecasts in Q4 2024, reporting $0.20 compared to a projection of $0.1888. The company also announced total revenues of $260.4 million in Q4, a 6.1% rise year-over-year, but somewhat lower than the expected $257.29 million.

Looking ahead, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCY) expects Q1 2025 revenue to range between $330 million and $340 million, with an operating margin of 17-21%. The company also plans to expand its fleet with eight more Amazon planes, an addition that is expected to provide a decent boost in cargo income.

Overall, SNCY ranks 8th on our list of best airline stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of SNCY as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SNCY but  trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10