RH Faces Challenges with Tariffs and Economic Pressures

GuruFocus
03 Apr

Luxury home furnishings company RH (RH, Financial) has reached a nearly five-year low after missing Q4 earnings expectations and issuing concerning guidance for Q1 and FY26. The company faces multiple challenges, including inflation, high interest rates, a weak housing market, and new tariffs.

Last year, nearly 75% of RH's products were sourced from Asia, with 35% from Vietnam, 23% from China, and the rest from Indonesia and India. Only 10% were U.S.-made. Recent tariffs on these countries, ranging from 26% to 46%, have put RH in a difficult position. The company has been stockpiling inventory, which grew by 35% year-over-year in Q4. CEO Gary Friedman is optimistic about managing inventory costs ahead of tariffs and views the tariffs as a potential negotiation tactic.

Despite these challenges, RH aims to avoid turning its situation into a major setback.

  • In Q4, RH experienced a shift from its previous bullish Q3 results. Although demand increased in November and December, rising mortgage rates led to a decline in demand by mid-December. This resulted in revenue growth of only 10% year-over-year to $812.41 million, missing the initial forecast of $868.5 million.
  • CEO Friedman remains hopeful, noting that despite operating in the worst housing market in 50 years, RH is performing as expected in a strong housing market.
  • For FY26, RH projects revenue growth of 10-13%, an improvement from FY25's 5% growth but below analyst expectations. The company has significant debt from a $2.2 billion stock buyback but plans to monetize $500 million in assets and convert $200-300 million of excess inventory into cash to reduce debt and interest expenses.

Even before tariffs, RH faced significant hurdles, making a swift recovery difficult. Competitors also face import tax challenges, with notable losses for companies like Wayfair (W, Financial), Williams-Sonoma (WSM, Financial), Haverty Furniture (HVT, Financial), La-Z-Boy (LZB, Financial), and Ethan Allen Interiors (ETD, Financial).

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10