【安联首席经济学家：预计美联储将在2025年降息一次】金色财经报道，安联首席顾问埃尔埃利安预计美联储今年只会降息一次，这与市场和美联储的预期形成了鲜明对比。市场已经完全定价了2025年至少两次降息的预期，而且很可能还会有第三次降息。总的来说，他们预计今年将降息约70个基点，7月份首次降息25个基点。与此同时，美联储最新的点阵图只要求降息两次。埃利安说，美联储“本质上是鸽派”，他补充说，他担心美联储无视疲软的经济数据，在真正了解这些关税的细节以及各国将如何应对之前，称即将征收的关税是暂时的。
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