【券商聚焦】交银国际维持九毛九(09922)中性评级 指其年初至今之客单价止跌回升或预示触底

金吾财讯
01 Apr

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,九毛九(09922)2024年全年收入同比增长1.5%。店铺层面经营利润同比下滑30.5%,对应经营利润率12.6%。净利润率下跌至0.9%(2023年:7.6%)。派息率达93%(2023年:43%)。各品牌业绩承压。太二通过产品创新应对外部压力,但翻台率、同店销售额、人均消费、店铺层面经营利润均下跌。怂火锅和九毛九的同店销售额分别下降31.6%/13.0%。对于太二品牌,公司将以往的明确开店目标转向存量门店迭代升级。怂火锅品牌计划采取稳健的开店节奏,未来3年集中于广东和华南地区。公司持续发展鲜货菜品。自怂火锅推出鲜货产品后。鲜货占比逐步提升。该行指,各个品牌的同店表现呈现初步企稳迹象,日均收入环比4季度有小辐改善,客单价亦止跌回升(环比低个位数)。然而,春节后淡季叠加外部环境不确定性,同店复苏趋势仍承压。该行续指,公司的开店指引相对谨慎。然而,公司积极调整门店经营模式,通过关闭低效门店、简化运营流程和强化数字化管理,有望逐步提升存量门店的盈利能力。同时,客单价止跌回稳,需求端或已触底,在一系列政策支持下有望回升。目标价3.14港元基于19倍2025年市盈率(过去一年平均市盈率上调一个标准差),维持中性评级。

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