Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited's (HKG:27) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Galaxy Entertainment Group has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Galaxy Entertainment Group
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Galaxy Entertainment Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 28% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 557% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 14% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Galaxy Entertainment Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Galaxy Entertainment Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Galaxy Entertainment Group that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Galaxy Entertainment Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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