USDA专员:预计加拿大2025/26年度油菜籽产量增加至1850万吨

金十财经
03 Apr

【USDA专员:预计加拿大2025/26年度油菜籽产量增加至1850万吨】金十期货4月3日讯,据外媒报道,美国农业部(USDA)驻加拿大海外农业服务局(FAS)专员发布的报告显示,加拿大2025/26年度油籽(包括油菜籽、大豆和葵花籽)预计较上一年度小幅增加,至2,557万吨。预计美国对菜籽油的强劲需求将持续,因菜籽油出口均价创2020年以来最低,而疲软的加元有助于至少部分抵消美国新征收的关税成本。专员预计加拿大2025/26年度油菜籽产量为1,850万吨,高于去年的1,780万吨和五年平均的1,790万吨。专员对产量提高的预测是基于对种植增加的预期(如加拿大统计局首次基于调查的2025/26年度种植意向数据所示,该数据得到相对于前几年的低库存和相对于其他商品的高价格支持),以及单产将增加到每公顷2.126吨的三年平均水平的假设。然而,如果土壤保持湿润,单产可能会更高,达到每公顷2.27-2.35吨的正常水平,从而提高产量。

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