Is Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) the Best Freight Stock to Buy According to Hedge Funds?

Insider Monkey
04 Apr

We recently published a list of 12 Best Freight Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) stands against other best freight stocks to buy according to hedge funds.

Freight stocks are often perceived as boring if compared to the flashy technology and AI stocks, but they are actually the blood of the global economy – the freight sector is the backbone of trade and the gross domestic product of every country. In essence, any good produced and sold was almost certain to have been involved in transportation, often several times at different stages of the supply chain. This means that freight companies are able to capture a small share of the giant gross domestic product, which makes the overall sector a huge size.

The key growth drivers of freight activity are trade volumes, fuel prices (cheap fuel is a huge profitability boost), public spending on large projects like infrastructure, and the level of manufacturing activity. Consequently, freight stocks thrive during periods of strong economic growth, supported by affordable energy prices and low interest rates, as well as a calm geopolitical landscape that ensures the free flow of goods. Conversely, the whole transportation sector tends to underperform during sluggish economic conditions, featuring mediocre construction and manufacturing activities, slowdowns in both public and private spending, and other macro headwinds like high interest rates and inflation, which pressure consumption on a large scale.

READ ALSO: 10 Best Transportation Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds

The year 2024 was not the best for freight activity in the US, as almost 2 years of high interest rates and past inflation finally took a toll on consumption, industrial activity, and construction. Last year, while strong from a valuation standpoint and stock market returns, it actually brought a significant slowdown in consumer spending, residential construction, automotive volumes, and industrial production. There were pockets of strength in data center construction, public construction (as fueled by the Infrastructure Act), and some industrial niches, but that was not enough to fuel growth for freight stocks. As a result, the whole sector underperformed the broad market and reached a new 5-year low (relative to the broad market) by year-end. Furthermore, the new US administration brought even more challenges into 2025 – the cut in public spending is likely to eliminate some of the pockets of strength mentioned above, while the tariff threats are a huge headwind for commerce and the flow of goods.

The Atlanta Fed and other reputable research boutiques have drastically cut their estimates of GDP growth for 2025, which puts transportation stocks out of favor again. However, according to the principles of value investing, the trough of the business cycle, when stocks are trading at or near their lows, is the best time to acquire good companies at exceptional prices. As legendary investors like Warren Buffet and Peter Lynch have taught us, valuations certainly do matter for long-term stock returns, meaning that periods of underperformance are opportunities to acquire stocks at bargain prices.

We also believe that the long-term picture remains favorable, and there are reasons to expect a reacceleration in GDP growth and freight volumes at some point in 2H 2025 or 2026, once the current challenges are navigated. The main reason for long-term optimism is that the outlook on the construction sector is favorable due to a chronically undersupplied residential housing market and the aging of infrastructure in the US. Second, industrial activity will also have to rebound at some point, and we believe that lower interest rates over time will unmute the “Roaring 2020s” tailwinds in such areas as electric vehicle production, energy grid, and automation – all of these will bring higher volumes for the freight sector. The key takeaway for readers is that we may be at an opportune time to acquire freight stocks at bargain prices ahead of a broad economic recovery over the next 1-2 years.

Our Methodology

We used a stock screener and thematic ETFs to shortlist 40-50 companies operating in the freight space, which includes the “Integrated Freight & Logistics” and “Trucking” industries. Then we compared the list with our proprietary database of hedge funds’ ownership and included in the article the top 12 stocks with the largest number of hedge funds owning the stock as of Q4 2024. All stocks are ranked in ascending order.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A row of semi-trucks, highlighted against an expansive sky.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 32

​Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) is a leading freight transportation company operating in North America. The company offers a broad range of services, including general, dedicated, and cross-border truckload transportation across the US, Mexico, and Canada. It also uses temperature-controlled, flatbed, and specialized trailers if needed, rail intermodal, freight brokerage, and other logistics management solutions. KNX ranked 7th on our recent list of 9 Best Trucking Stocks To Buy.

​​Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) is showing signs of moving past the prolonged down cycle that affected the freight transportation sector for nearly 3 years, with 2024 bringing stabilization in pricing, return of seasonal patterns, and cooling of cost inflation. The company has strategically deployed capital through acquisitions to create more growth runway and margin improvement in both Truckload and LTL segments while trimming costs and developing technologies to enhance business efficiency. The Q4 2024 showed the benefits of their diversified business model as sequential improvements in the Truckload and Logistics segments offset seasonal slowdown in other segments and cost headwinds from LTL expansion.

Looking ahead to 2025, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) expects to leverage its scale and suite of services in Truckload operations to enhance its value proposition while focusing on growing shipment count in LTL to drive margin expansion through revenue growth and operational efficiency. The company’s guidance reflects expectations for gradual recovery in market conditions throughout 2025. Management anticipates improvements in contractual pricing through bid activity and expects seasonal improvement in volumes and utilization to lift earnings in the second quarter. At least 32 hedge funds owned KNX as per Insider Monkey’s database of Q4 2024, which makes it one of the best freight stocks according to hedge funds.

Overall, KNX ranks 10th on our list of best best freight stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of KNX, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than KNX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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