If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Monadelphous Group (ASX:MND) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
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For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Monadelphous Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = AU$96m ÷ (AU$877m - AU$324m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, Monadelphous Group has an ROCE of 17%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 17%.
See our latest analysis for Monadelphous Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Monadelphous Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Monadelphous Group .
Over the past five years, Monadelphous Group's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Monadelphous Group to be a multi-bagger going forward. That probably explains why Monadelphous Group has been paying out 89% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
We can conclude that in regards to Monadelphous Group's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 61% over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Monadelphous Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Monadelphous Group that you might be interested in.
While Monadelphous Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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