花旗发布研报称,嘉里物流(00636)的国际货运代理业务(IFF)主要集中于泛太平洋航线,因此关税实施的情况较预期差,可能会对集团的IFF业务量造成负面影响。由于成本优化,综合物流可能会有温和增长,下调集团今明两年盈测,以反映运费下降及全球贸易的不确定性,并将目标价由10.5港元下调至8.5港元,维持“买入”评级。
然而,由于运费目前已跌至谷底水平,现阶段IFF业务利润所受的影响或尚不明朗。该行考虑到嘉里物流货量的逆风、供需动态的不确定性,以及由于供应链中断,客户可能需要集团提供更多的增值服务。
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