金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示,特朗普超预期关税政策引发市场担忧,短期或影响港股市场表现。不过该行认为,中期视角下港股相对收益空间仍存,原因是:1)基本面上,国内3月PMI连续两个月扩张、地产寻底迹象初现、政策逆周期调节存加码预期;2)港股结构上,科技+金融主导的上市公司特征使其企业盈利对关税敏感度相对较低;3)资金面上,南向资金持续流入为港股提供资金支撑。操作上,该行建议配置:1)存在政策逆周期调节预期的内需消费板块;2)盈利预期抬升明显、自主可控逻辑坚实的港股硬科技;3)南向持仓占比高、受外资变动影响小、盈利预期稳定的红利方向,仍可作为底仓配置。
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