摩根大通由Jay Barry牵头的策略师们认为：美国国债价格料将继续上涨。预计美联储将在今后至2026年1月的每次FOMC货币政策会议上都决定降息。预计明年初的联邦基金利率目标区间（即政策利率）的顶部将下滑至3.0%。
摩根大通经济学家们预计，特朗普关税将造成美国实际GDP萎缩。下调全年GDP实际增速预期至-0.3%，之前预计会增长1.3%。预计2025年年底的美国两年期国债收益率将下降至2.7%、10年期收益率料为3.65%，之前预计分别为3.65%和4.15%。
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