【券商聚焦】摩根士丹利:“熊市”情境下恒指今年年底目标17400点 国指“今年年底目标6490点

金吾财讯
07 Apr

金吾财讯 | 摩根士丹利发表亚太区市场策略报告,强调了对亚太区市场“熊市”情境下目标,即恒指“熊市”情境今年年底目标17,400点(相当于预测今年市盈率8.3倍)、国指“熊市”情境今年年底目标6,490点(相当于预测今年市盈率7.2倍)、MSCI中国指数“熊市”情境今年年底目标56点(相当于预测今年市盈率9倍),包括反映全球经济衰退情景的获利和估值假设。该行指在市场配置呈混乱的情况下,受贸易影响较大的北亚地区通常表现不佳,尽管日圆升值有助于缓冲美元计价回报,尤其是对防御性股票而言,该行维持韩国及澳洲市场等“减持”看法。大摩指,由于该等市场与美国股市一样存在一定的估值延伸,它们在初始调整中可能不像往常那样具有防御性。

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