穆迪分析亚太区首席经济学家史蒂夫·科克伦4月6日在接受采访时指出，相比于中国，美国将更容易受到贸易战的负面影响。科克伦以大豆为例指出，中国的进口来源非常广泛地分布在世界各地，并非高度集中于某个国家——因此，来自美国的进口可以被替代，但这将让美国的相关产业非常痛苦。科克伦还预测，如果贸易战继续下去，美国可能将很快陷入衰退，衰退可能将持续一年甚至更久。
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