金吾财讯 | 天风证券研报指出,中国电力(02380)2024年实现营业收入542.13亿元,同比增长22.48%;权益持有人应占利润38.62亿元,同比增长25.20%;普通股股东应占利润33.64亿元,同比增长26.47%。公司火电板块实现净利润15.57亿元,同比增长18.37%;水电板块实现净利润5.15亿元,同比实现扭亏;风电板块实现净利润31.83亿元,同比增长2.14%;光伏板块实现净利润17.21亿元,同比增长14.43%。该行指,截至2024年底,公司合并装机容量达到4939.09万千瓦,同比增加437.21万千瓦/9.71%,其中,公司清洁能源(包括水电、风电、光伏发电、气电及环保发电)合并装机容量达到3957.09万千瓦,占公司合并装机容量总额的80.12%,同比增加4.73pct。在新增装机的推动下,2024年公司完成风电售电量262.37亿千瓦时,同比增长41.85%,光伏售电量234.25亿千瓦时,同比增长60.37%,在风光资源制约下公司新能源电量仍实现较大增长,展望未来,新能源发电板块有望持续为公司贡献发展新动能。该行表示,考虑公司存量资产盈利状况及新能源装机增长节奏,该行调整盈利预测,预计2025-2026年公司归母净利润分别为40.46、45.31亿元(原预测值为2025年归母净利润65.26亿元),同比分别增长20.27%、11.97%,对应PE分别为7.84、7.00倍,维持“买入”评级。
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