港股异动 | 水泥股持续走高 行业有望受益于内需扩张政策 机构称第一季度盈利改善值得期待

智通财经
08 Apr

智通财经APP获悉,水泥股持续走高,截至发稿,华新水泥(06655)涨8.52%,报9.55港元;海螺水泥(00914)涨7.67%,报21.75港元;华润建材科技(01313)涨6.17%,报1.72港元;西部水泥(02233)涨5.6%,报1.32港元;中国建材(03323)涨4.32%,报3.86港元。

国信证券指出,关税冲击背景下,预计中国将出台更为积极的扩内需政策以对冲外需下滑,包括通过增发特别国债支持重大战略工程建设、加快地方政府化债进程,并加大对城中村改造及闲置土地回收等领域的资金支持力度。建筑建材行业由于对外需依赖度较低,预计将直接受益于内需扩张政策。东吴证券指出,如果外部需求快速回落,中西部基建很有可能成为救急的方向。

国泰海通证券指出,以产业链负债表为视角,预判观察年内水泥需求降幅压力放缓确定性高。从产业一线观察来看,“原在建”重点工程贡献了重要的内需对冲潜力。广东等经济大省的对冲启动或已经提前展开。观察水泥行业全国整体来看,4月错峰计划和进一步提价稳价形势顺利。该行指出,水泥行业需求韧性和格局稳固经受了考验,煤炭让利使得行业有机会将格局改善兑现成利润,25年第一季度盈利改善已值得期待。

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