Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布今日图表称,2015 年,RMB 贬值后,比特币一度遭遇抛售,但年底时却强势反弹,全年收涨。当前我们可能会看到类似的情景重演,且这一判断与我们 18 个月前对黄金的看多观点形成呼应。 目前,美元兑 RMB (USDCNY)汇率有望突破关键技术阻力位,这与我们当初对黄金“被人为压抑、蓄势待发”的判断高度相似,或预示比特币也即将迎来快速上涨。 此外,USDCNY 与美国 10 年期国债收益率之间的相关性也值得关注。尽管近期美债收益率有所下行,但若出现快速反弹,可能在短期内对比特币的上行动能构成一定压力。
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