When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) as an attractive investment with its 10x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Mattel has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Mattel
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Mattel's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 163% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 36% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.6% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Mattel's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Mattel's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Mattel that you should be aware of.
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