4月5日,在全球贸易战烽火连天、美联储货币政策悬而未决之际,美国3月非农数据意外“报喜”,却难掩失业率攀升的隐忧。这一矛盾信号本应引发市场对经济前景的深度拷问。
但鲍威尔“按兵不动”的表态与美国财长“强势美元”的论调,意外为美元构筑起反弹的避风港。这种反弹更像是惊涛骇浪中的短暂喘息,美国股市正经历五年来最惨烈的抛售潮,单周蒸发市值超3万亿美元,三大股指集体跌入熊市深渊,市场情绪已近冰点。
黄金也未能幸免,昨日整体跌幅超120点,周线录得上影线较长的阴柱,终结四周连涨,日线连阴后周期指标进入超卖区,但整体还是偏向下行。连续两日暴跌后,3000美元关口成为多头最后的坚强。若此线失守,下方2950、2880乃至2800点位将依次表露空头之下。技术面已现见顶信号,逢高做空策略虽为主流,但需警惕消息面扰动引发的报付性反弹。下周徐顾承建议大家谨慎应对。
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