4月5日,本周国际金价上演“过山车”行情。现货黄金周一至周四持续攀升,并于周四(4月3日)刷新历史高位至3167.57美元/盎司,但周五(4月4日)单日暴跌逾75美元,跌幅达2.44%,最终收报3038.34美元/盎司,全周涨幅收窄至1.2%。
目前黄金日线冲高回落,早盘急涨无延续,探高3168一线承压,快速进入调整,逾100美元的下调空间。回调空间比上涨空间大,跌破了前一日的起涨低点3053就是一个短跑空点,最低回测至3015附近。日线短期内陷入局部调整。再结合4小时图的下跌浪形空间。3000整数关口是黄金分割点0.5的支撑位置。今日黄金短线操作思路上王召金建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注3053-3062一线阻力,下方短期重点关注3010-3000一线支撑;思路是在3045一线附近做空,止损在3053位置,目标看3035-3025-3015位置。
周五(4月4日)美市盘中,国际油价弱势持续下跌,美原油目前交投于62.31美元/桶附近。国际油价周四遭遇“黑色星期四”,创下三年来最惨烈单日跌幅。
原油从日线图级别看,中期走势在跌破区间下沿后,持续围绕低位次要震荡运行。油价短线连涨突破均线系统压制,中期客观趋势进入转换期。但从动能上看,多空动能尚未有明显压倒一方的劲头,预计中期走势仍将维持一段震荡节奏,等待确立明显趋势方向。原油短线(1H)走势大度下挫,3月中旬以来的涨幅全部被收回,油价触及60.30附近低位。均线系统发散向下,短线客观趋势方向向下。K线连收7根实体阴线,空头动能表现充盈,预计日内原油短线走势在低位次要调整后,继续向下运行为主。综合来看,原油下周操作思路上反弹高空为主,回踩低多为辅,上方短期关注63.5-64.5一线阻力,下方短期关注60.5-60.0一线支撑。
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