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　　早盘收盘，国内主力合约跌多涨少，集运欧线跌超9%，合成橡胶跌近7%，SC原油、PX、PTA跌近6%，20号胶跌超5%，沪锡、燃油跌近5%，纸浆、瓶片、液化石油气（LPG）、乙二醇（EG）跌超4%，橡胶、棉花、焦煤、短纤跌近4%，焦炭、沥青、低硫燃料油（LU）跌超3%。涨幅方面，鸡蛋涨超2%，硅铁、豆粕涨跌1%。

　　预计集运价格将震荡偏弱，后续跌幅有所收敛

　　美国对华对等关税将在4月9日生效，后续将出现更多针对关税方案的博弈，近端变化存不确定性，远端贸易需求整体偏弱。EC作为出口链条直接相关品种，预计仍将震荡偏弱，但近两个交易日负面情绪释放后，预计后续跌幅有所收敛。后续盘面需关注船司5月实际基本面供需结构，独立看待近远月合约，前者锚定基本面，后者计价经济衰退和贸易萎缩。策略上可考虑6-10正套表达近远月不同交易逻辑，远端合约以空配为主，10合约在贸易衰退预期放大的背景下可短期参考成本线进行定价。

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