金吾财讯 | 国证国际发研指,移卡(09923)去年总收入15亿元,同比降20%,较一致预期低11%,其中一站式支付较市场预期低6%(8,600万元),商户解决方案较市场预期低43%(2.4亿元)。毛利同比增15%,好于市场预期2%,主要因支付业务毛利好于预期,整体毛利率28%,同比及环比均提升9个百分点。归母净利润5100万元,利润率3.4%,对比去年同期为亏损2,200万元。经调整EBITDA为2.2亿元,同比降17%,EBITDA利润率14.7%。该行指,公司支付业务承压,下半年GPV为1.17万亿元,同比降18%,环比持平,综合费率为11.5个基点,同比/环比下降1.1/0.8个基点。全年GPV为2.34万亿元,剔除非经常性收入调整影响的费率为11.9个基点,同比下降1.4个基点,与行业费率下行趋势一致。该行表示,预计2025年支付业务GPV同比增9%,费率或有小幅上调空间,预计收入增速略大于GPV增速。预计利润端恢复常态化水平,预计全年经调整归母净利润(剔除股份支付影响计算所得)2.7亿元,给予2025年13倍市盈率,目标价8.2港元,维持增持评级。
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