智通财经APP获悉,有色股普遍承压,截至发稿,紫金矿业(02899)跌4.19%,报14.18港元;洛阳钼业(03993)跌2.04%,报4.8港元;江西铜业股份(00358)跌1.78%,报11.04港元;中国铝业(02600)跌0.77%,报3.85港元。
消息面上,美国对等关税政策超预期,并且随后中国给出反制措施,投资者对全球经济衰退的担忧升温,恐慌性抛售情绪压制有色。分析人士表示,短期内美国政策利空或基本出尽,但是新关税政策对全球经济和消费的冲击并未结束,需注意海外经济衰退担忧情绪对有色金属等大宗商品的拖累。
招商证券指出,短期市场波动放大,贸易摩擦加剧背景下黄金避险属性在中期利好价格。看好高金价下估值修复。另外,短期看铜基本面良性。美国关税和中国反制关税让美国铜金属难再入中国市场。2024年我国进口美国废铜44万吨,铜精矿46万实物吨。由于美国关税超预期,上周四五lme铜价累计跌幅超过10%。本周开盘国内铜价和股价预计补跌。短期铜价受宏观干扰,下跌空间预计有限。关注下跌之后的买点。中长期看好铜板块标的投资价值。
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