Trump May Extend Tariff Pause Indefinitely, CE Says -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

Apr 10, 2025

0918 GMT - Capital Economics expects President Trump's tariff pause on some economies to be extended indefinitely and for U.S. tariffs on China to come down over time after negotiations. Chinese markets' rebound today signals that investors think it won't take too long for the tariffs to come down, says Thomas Mathews, CE head of Asia Pacific markets, in a note. However, uncertainty over U.S. policy remains high. Chinese markets' optimism "arguably sets them up for some near-term disappointment if it takes longer than expected (China in particular doesn't currently seem desperate for a reconciliation) but ultimately we do think a deal will be done," he says. The Trump administration has demonstrated a willingness to make big, difficult-to-predict decisions, he says, adding that it's shown a greater tolerance for causing a recession than many might have thought. (sherry.qin@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

April 10, 2025 05:18 ET (09:18 GMT)

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Chinese markets' rebound today signals that investors think it won't take too long for the tariffs to come down, says Thomas Mathews, CE head of Asia Pacific markets, in a note. However, uncertainty over U.S. policy remains high. Chinese markets' optimism \"arguably sets them up for some near-term disappointment if it takes longer than expected (China in particular doesn't currently seem desperate for a reconciliation) but ultimately we do think a deal will be done,\" he says. The Trump administration has demonstrated a willingness to make big, difficult-to-predict decisions, he says, adding that it's shown a greater tolerance for causing a recession than many might have thought. 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","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"CE":"塞拉尼斯","BK4109":"特种化学制品","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股"},"translate_title":"行政长官称特朗普可能无限期延长关税暂停——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CE":1},"content_text":"0918 GMT - Capital Economics expects President Trump's tariff pause on some economies to be extended indefinitely and for U.S. tariffs on China to come down over time after negotiations. Chinese markets' rebound today signals that investors think it won't take too long for the tariffs to come down, says Thomas Mathews, CE head of Asia Pacific markets, in a note. However, uncertainty over U.S. policy remains high. Chinese markets' optimism \"arguably sets them up for some near-term disappointment if it takes longer than expected (China in particular doesn't currently seem desperate for a reconciliation) but ultimately we do think a deal will be done,\" he says. 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