【风险再度升级 聚酯链大幅下挫】金十期货特约国信期货点评:4月8日布拉特原油06合约大跌4.26%,4月9日亚盘时段再度大幅低开,截至发稿跌幅超过4.0%。受原油价格大跌影响,周三国内化工品开盘后跳水大跌,SC原油、橡胶、对二甲苯、乙二醇、PTA、瓶片及短纤主力合约出现短时跌停。消息面,特朗普政府可能再次提升关税税率,贸易战有可能进一步升级,宏观系统风险继续发酵。目前来看,资金避险情绪浓厚,风险资产遭到全面抛售,本周股市及商品连续大幅下跌,短期内仍有惯性下杀风险,建议注意控制仓位。就聚酯链来说,一方面是原油价格大跌,产业链成本支撑坍塌,进而引发上下游大幅下挫,另一方面,贸易摩擦全面升级直接利空终端纺服及聚酯中间品的出口需求,在成本及需求拖累下,聚酯链品种短期预计将延续跌势,密切关注油价走势及宏观情绪变化。
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