据彭博社,圣路易斯联储主席 Alberto Musalem 表示,目前存在通胀上升与就业市场疲软并存的短期风险,呼吁政策制定者保持警惕。他指出,关税的通胀效应可能具有持续性,金融状况整体趋紧,如股市下跌、信用利差扩大,若持续将拖累经济增长。他认为当前需密切关注数据,对就业与通胀前景进行全面评估,并适当通过货币政策应对潜在的次轮通胀压力。
纽约联储主席 John Williams 表示,受关税政策和移民减少影响,美国经济增速将显著放缓,预计实际 GDP 增速将降至 1% 以下,失业率将在未来一年上升至 4.5% 至 5%,通胀率将升至 3.5% 至 4%。他指出,近期消费者和企业信心大幅下滑,主要源于特朗普政府对贸易政策的调整带来的不确定性。
(转自:吴说)
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