智通财经APP获悉,新秀丽(01910)跌近7%,截至发稿,跌6.8%,报13.44港元,成交额8046.35万港元。
消息面上,近期关税大战升级,据麦格理,由于全球宏观经济疲软带来的财富效应,预计国际品牌将受到全球消费收缩的影响。出口到美国的品牌如果提高价格以转嫁更高的关税,可能会面临需求疲软的问题。其中,新秀丽35%的销售额来自北美,其中15%的产品从中国进口,80%从东盟进口。
高盛近期研报指出,在基础情境下,新秀丽将关税相关的成本50%转嫁给消费者,意味今年平均售价上调5%,估计销量将下跌14%,总计今年美国销售额同比下降9%(相对该行先前预测跌1%)。因此,该行预计新秀丽毛利同比跌9300万美元;毛利率收缩3.4个百分点,转化为集团在2025财年的EBITDA同比下降13%;盈利同比下跌17%。高盛将新秀丽目标价由29港元下调至22港元。
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