【原油价格再探新低，短线有超跌提示】金十期货4月9日讯，隔夜原油低位震荡后再探新低，原油面临本就需求增量难寻的基础上、特朗普政府关税政策超预期诱发市场对美国衰退的担忧、同时OPEC+计划5月提速增产使得供需预期恶化的情形，当前油价可能正走在计价极端利空情形的路上。从技术分析角度看，油价以暴跌形式下穿多年的减产底，空头趋势明显，短线有技术性修复需求、力度尚需观察，美油看57美元/桶附近有反复可能，再次下探可能指向下方50美元/桶附近，Sc跟随外盘下跌，考虑到Sc依赖进口油种交割，留意因关税、贸易摩擦、政经秩序扰动等危及原油进口或原油进口成本增加，导致的Sc走向升水概率(同时注意随基准油价走低，跨境价差的实际成本在走高)，交易端空头注意止盈，浮盈较大的可考虑兑现部分利润后头寸转向比率垂差。
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