凯投宏观:低油价对许多新兴市场有积极影响

金十财经
10 Apr

【凯投宏观:低油价对许多新兴市场有积极影响】金十数据4月10日讯,凯投宏观分析师威廉・杰克逊在一份报告中指出,尽管油价下跌给沙特阿拉伯等新兴市场的产油国带来了预算压力,但对于大多数作为石油进口国的新兴市场国家而言,这可能有助于抵消关税带来的影响。油价下跌以改善贸易条件、降低通货膨胀以及为各国央行提供更多货币政策宽松空间的形式,带来了虽小但却令人欣喜的缓解作用。威廉姆斯估计,相较于该公司的基线假设,每桶60美元的油价可能会使新兴市场的燃油通胀率降低约5个百分点,使整体通胀率降低约0.3个百分点。不过,他表示,鉴于货币面临的压力,许多央行可能仍会持谨慎态度。

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