智通财经APP获悉,石油股延续反弹,截至发稿,中海油服(02883)涨5.38%,报5.88港元;中石油(00857)涨4.17%,报5.5港元;中海油(00883)涨2.59%,报16.62港元;中石化(00386)涨0.52%,报3.84港元。
消息面上,EIA 4月月报显示,其预计25年全球供需情况从3月的过剩4万桶/日调整至过剩46万桶/日,主要是其对需求增速的预期下调了37万桶/日。EIA预计2025年布伦特原油价格为67.87美元/桶,预计2026年为61.48美元/桶;预计2025年WTI原油价格为63.88美元/桶,预计2026年为57.48美元/桶。
民生证券发布研报称,从EIA的预测数据可见,当前油价下美国产量增速预期被大幅下调,表明60美元已触及美国页岩油的边际成本,是油价较强的底部支撑;且本次布油价格在触及60美元/桶的底部后再次反弹,同时结合历史来看,仅2020年疫情、2015-2017年美国页岩油革命叠加OPEC抢份额打价格战时导致布油价格中枢低于60美元/桶,因此我们认为,若不考虑全球经济危机以及OPEC打价格战的可能影响,当前布油60美元/桶的底部是较为明确的。
更多港股重磅资讯,下载智通财经app
更多港股及海外理财资讯,请点击www.zhitongcaijing.com(搜索“智通财经”);欲加入智通港股投资群,请加智通客服微信(ztcjkf)
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.