【关税影响正在显现，美黄金继续试探近期高点阻力】金十期货特约光大期货点评：4月15日，COMEX黄金价格上涨0.64%至3246.90美元/盎司，沪金主连上涨0.73%至766.74元/克。数据方面，美国3月进口物价指数月率录得-0.1%，结束2024年10月以来增长趋势。降息方面，最新CME“美联储观察”数据显示，5月维持利率不变的概率为81.4%，降息25个基点的概率为18.6%，到6月维持利率不变的概率为27.6%，累计降息25个基点的概率为60.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为12.3%。综合而言，关税政策依旧为黄金提供助力，关注后期政策的潜在变动。
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