【贵金属小幅上涨 注意风险波动】金十期货4月15日讯，周二，内盘贵金属市场小幅收涨，沪金主力合约上涨0.24%，报764.44元/克，沪银主力合约上涨0.79%，报8158元/千克。消息面上，美联储理事沃勒指出，若特朗普关税对经济的冲击程度有限（通胀效应呈暂时性），FOMC可能于2025年下半年启动降息，滞胀交易与宽松预期形成共振。此外，据世界黄金协会数据显示，4月前11天，中国实物黄金ETF净流入达29.1吨，超过一季度，前11天美国黄金ETF流入量达27.8吨，显示市场避险情绪升温加速资金配置。展望后市，COMEX黄金短期或围绕3250美元/盎司震荡，沪金对应波动中枢暂看760—770元/克，短期需警惕美联储政策预期反复引发的波动风险，但中长期受滞胀格局深化及央行购金需求支撑，上行趋势仍具韧性；白银虽受光伏装机旺季托底，但工业属性或受宏观需求走弱拖累，金银比修复逻辑或呈阶段性特征。
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