港股异动 | 黄金股延续上升趋势 COMEX黄金价格回踩再冲新高 降息背景下国际金价获多因素支撑

智通财经
14 Apr

智通财经APP获悉,黄金股延续上升趋势,截至发稿,赤峰黄金(06693)涨7.83%,报23.4港元;灵宝黄金(03330)涨4.16%,报9.01港元;紫金矿业(02099)涨3.39%,报17.1港元;山东黄金(01787)涨2.71%,报20.85港元;招金矿业(01818)涨2.49%,报17.28港元。

中信建投发布研报称,COMEX黄金回踩3000美元整数关口后一骑绝尘,再次刷新历史价格记录,短期主要的价格驱动是特朗普反复无常的关税政策催生的浓厚避险需求,特朗普政策的不确定性支撑着金价。此外,美联储处于降息周期中,长期通胀居高难下,实际利率的下行趋势为金价注入新的动力。更重要的是,全球经济体从合作走向对抗,全球央行购金为本币背书的行为还在持续。多因素驱动金价上行,黄金股修复在即。

高盛表示,将2025年底黄金价格预测从3100美元/盎司上调至3300美元/盎司,并表示在极端情况下,金价可能突破4200美元/盎司。大摩分析师指出,各国央行增加黄金储备和投资者买入黄金是推升国际金价的两大主要因素,在美联储降息背景下,国际金价受到更多有利因素支持。目前实物需求稳定,预计资金流入ETF可能刚刚开始,在这种情况下,今年国际金价可能升至3300~3400美元/盎司。

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