聚酯端需求预期偏弱,PTA价格随原油回落

金十财经
16 Apr

【聚酯端需求预期偏弱,PTA价格随原油回落】金十期货特约光大期货点评:今日凌晨美API数据显示,截至4月11日当周,美国API原油库存增加240万桶,市场此前预期为减少168万桶,之前一周减少105.7万桶。累库状态令近期油价承压,周三原油带动一众工业品下跌,PTA回归此前弱势局面,日内跌幅近3%。基本面来看,下游聚酯产销延续偏弱,吴江一套20万吨聚酯装置计划于下周停车检修,装置配套生产半光涤纶长丝为主,预计检修一个月附近,目前聚酯长丝库存偏高,订单不佳,开工或存走弱预期。市场信心不足,且关税在中期仍有不确定性,对于上游PTA及乙二醇存在阶段性需求负反馈。供应方面,四月下旬台化兴业一套120万吨PTA装置有重启计划,逸盛大连一套375万吨PTA装置有重启预期。3-4月春检结束后,供应回归或带动后续PTA库存回升,若近日美伊谈判顺利且经济衰退预期在关税战背景下加深,拖拽油价下行,PTA或追随油价延续弱势局面。

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