【燃油是反弹还是反转?】金十期货特约光大期货点评:今日能源板块领涨大宗商品,盘中燃油2507合约涨超2%,占据涨幅榜首。来看看背后的基本面,供应方面,短期受特朗普关税政策力度下降的影响,外盘原油反弹带动燃料油生产成本回升,但是需要注意原油和燃油的供应压力在回升。4月3日沙特联合七个OPEC+成员国突然宣布加速解除220万桶/日的减产计划,令5月全球原油供应骤增41.1万桶/日;截至4月7日当周,新加坡燃料油库存录得2202.1万桶,环比前一周增加1.44%,富查伊拉燃料油库存录得1328.5万桶,环比前一周增加1.86%。需求方面,国内炼化需求持续疲软,上周山东地炼常减压开工率环比下跌0.52个百分点。但需要注意的是,随着南亚国家进入夏季用电高峰,高硫 180CST 燃料油发电需求将回升。综合来看,盘面跟随原油价格同步反弹,关注前期两个跳空缺口的阻力情况。
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