【高盛:预计油价跌势将持续至2026年】金十数据4月14日讯,高盛团队预计,由于经济衰退的风险上升以及欧佩克+的供应增加,油价将在今年底和明年下跌。该行预计布伦特原油和WTI原油价格将小幅下跌,在2025年剩余时间内平均每桶分别为63美元和59美元,2026年为58美元和55美元。考虑到全球贸易战背景下的疲软经济增长前景,该行预计,从去年年底到2025年底,石油日需求只会增加30万桶。自3月中旬以来,由于贸易战不断升级,该行将2026年第四季度的全球需求增长预测下调了90万桶/日。高盛预测,尽管市场已经考虑到未来的一些库存增加,但2025年和2026年分别达80万桶/日和140万桶/日的大量供应过剩将继续对油价施加下行压力。
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