Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.
Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Shift4 Payments (NYSE:FOUR). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.
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Shift4 Payments has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. In impressive fashion, Shift4 Payments' EPS grew from US$1.44 to US$3.28, over the previous 12 months. It's a rarity to see 127% year-on-year growth like that. The best case scenario? That the business has hit a true inflection point.
Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. EBIT margins for Shift4 Payments remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 30% to US$3.3b. That's a real positive.
The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Shift4 Payments
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Shift4 Payments' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting .
Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.
While there was some insider selling, that pales in comparison to the US$11m that the Founder, Jared Isaacman spent acquiring shares. The average price paid was about US$66.96. It's not often you see purchases like this and so it should be on the radar of everyone who follows Shift4 Payments.
On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Shift4 Payments insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$198m. This suggests that leadership will be very mindful of shareholders' interests when making decisions!
Shift4 Payments' earnings per share have been soaring, with growth rates sky high. The icing on the cake is that insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. This quick rundown suggests that the business may be of good quality, and also at an inflection point, so maybe Shift4 Payments deserves timely attention. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shift4 Payments (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Shift4 Payments, you'll probably love this curated collection of companies in the US that have an attractive valuation alongside insider buying in the last three months.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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