【中金：下调布伦特油价年中枢至每桶70美元】金十数据4月15日讯，中金发表研究报告指，美国对等关税政策打压经济增长预期，布伦特油价于上周进一步跌破每桶65美元。回顾历史，类似的价格跌幅大多发生在经济衰退时期。需求预期承压之际，OPEC+决定在5月加快增产，超出市场预期。该行认为这或受到政治和地缘等外部因素的影响，并将加剧石油市场过剩压力。该行结合年初以来的基本面变化，上调全年石油供需过剩预期至每日67万桶，同时下调布伦特油价年中枢至每桶70美元，而第二至第四季中枢分别为每桶67.5、72.5及65美元。风险情形下，若贸易摩擦下全球经济增长进一步受压，或为油价带来每桶约5美元的额外下跌空间。
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