【美国经济学家:美联储已过度降息,美国陷入滞涨的概率为65%】金色财经报道,曾在美联储和英国央行任职的亚当·波森(Adam Posen)在本周的一次演讲中表示,“我们可能会陷入衰退,也可能不会,但无论如何我们都将面临通胀。”目前担任彼得森国际经济研究所所长的波森具有相当大的影响力,他认为衰退的可能性为65%。 至于美联储方面,波森认为考虑到当前依然较高的通胀率水平,它已经过度降息。一旦物价开始再次上涨,美联储可能会跟不上变化的步伐。结果,美联储可能会被迫迅速大幅提高利率,给经济带来额外的压力。 如果这一切都成为现实,波森说,修复这些损害可能需要几年或更长时间。
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