【贸易阴霾下鲍威尔表态 黄金再创新高】金十期货4月18日讯，受地缘政治、贸易摩擦、资金流向转变及投行预期等因素推动，黄金价格大幅上涨。贵金属上涨首要驱动来自贸易摩擦升级风险。展望后市，从当前市场情绪来看，看涨黄金的共识占据主导地位。随着全球经济形势的演变，滞胀加深与降息周期渐近成为市场关注焦点，为黄金价格中长期上涨注入强劲动能。基于此，预计 COMEX 黄金或触及3400 美元 / 盎司，沪金也可能上探 800 元 / 克整数关口。但是，黄金短期需警惕流动性收紧风险引发的波动放大，以及若美联储因持续通胀而采取更鹰派的政策，从而削弱黄金的相对吸引力；在回调情境中，黄金的3000美元/盎司的支撑位仍为其提供强劲支撑。白银方面，尽管光伏装机旺季对工业需求形成托底，但需警惕宏观需求走弱与工业金属共振下跌风险，金银比修复逻辑或受阶段性压制，注意回调风险。
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