【在大国博弈的背景下，黄金中长期向上的趋势或延续】金十期货4月18日讯，仅一个季度，黄金最高涨幅接近28%，已经远超近十年内的平均涨幅，市场热度较高，在大国博弈的背景下，黄金中长期向上的趋势或延续，但任何一个行情趋势中间难免会有波动。尽管目前关税问题依然让市场十分紧张，但目前美国与各方开始进入谈判模式，特朗普表示有信心与欧盟达成贸易协议，美财长认为与日本的谈判令人满意，中国商贸部门也在与美方进行接触，随着谈判的进行，市场风险会有所释放。此外，美国经济也出现积极信号，美国公布的零售数据较为强劲，虽然有一定的抢购因素，但特朗普也在施压美联储宽松，美国政府也在考虑减少对经济的负担。欧洲央行降息可能会让经济得到喘息，美元指数短期内下行压力可能会有所减少，短期内或围绕100点波动。日内来看，黄金价格波动明显增加，多空博弈加剧，市场指标显示有超买迹象，价格涨势可能会偏缓，对利好信息可能会变得迟钝。白银波动较大，如果黄金出现调整，白银将会弱于黄金。
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