【原油：欧佩克+补偿性减产带来修复性反弹】金十期货4月18日讯，维持油价主力合约震荡运行区间为60-80美元/桶（布油），SC预计运行于440-580元/桶，宽幅震荡运行。1. 供给端，本周欧佩克+核心8国补偿性减产，油价出现明显反弹，但只要OPEC+坚持边际增产，供应端难以对原油市场形成单边新驱动。近期需关注美伊谈判进展及5月5日的OPEC+会议。2. 需求端，美国经济数据出现降温，消费正在走弱，高关税冲击下当前全球经济仍然难以看到复苏预期，需求端给到原油市场的支撑在边际走弱。基本面数据显示原油需求、库存等基本面数据呈现季节性特征。3. 总体来看，当前影响原油市场波动的主要因素在于关税升级带来的经济不确定性，及地缘局势不确定性对供给的影响，预计原油价格暂难以摆脱震荡偏弱格局。
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