高盛:料内地政府要求停收波音将导致三大航司运力供应短缺加剧

智通财经网
17 Apr

智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,据报中国政府要求各大航空公司暂停接收波音的任何飞机交付,并指示航空公司停止购买任何美国飞机相关的设备和零部件,注意到中国南方航空股份(01055)已于4月11日叫停在上海联合产权交易所出售10架二手波音787飞机的交易,相信是新飞机交付存在不确定性的情况下对运力的重新安排。

高盛表示,考虑到南航、中国国航(00753)、中国东方航空股份(00670)订购计划中,于2025至2027年交付的新型窄体和宽体客机约有33%来自波音公司,若消息属实,将令三大航空公司在2025至2027年的飞机净增长从约4%至5%降至2%至3%,座位量年均复合增长率预期从3%降至2%。假设需求未变,高盛预期三大航空公司面对的运力供应短缺情况将加剧,由原来预期需求较供应多3%,升至4%,当中由于南航订购的来自波音新飞机比例最多,预期受影响最大。

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