美联储威廉姆斯：在不确定因素下，经济状况仍然非常良好。货币政策处于良好位置，目前不认为需要很快调整利率。今年关税将推高通胀率并抑制经济增长。是时候收集数据，了解当前局势了。很难预测美联储未来在利率政策方面的具体举措。目前通胀预期的变化值得密切关注。市场定价反映出对经济前景的不确定性。我对货币政策的基本看法没有发生根本性变化。近期的通胀情况是好消息，但仍高于目标水平。将来的关键在于观察贸易政策如何影响通胀。今年关税措施必将对通胀产生影响，但尚不清楚这一影响将持续多久。保持通胀预期稳固至关重要，不会对经济衰退做出预测。预计今年经济增长将明显放缓，失业率将上升。今年国内生产总值可能不到1%，失业率将上升至4.5%至5%。中性利率仍可能处于较低水平。关税不确定性是企业关注的首要话题。长期联邦基金利率可能维持在约3%的水平。
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